[19:31:29] [discord] https://twitter.com/AP/status/1592593237902036992 [19:31:30] [Twitter] The Associated Press (@AP): BREAKING: A senior U.S. intelligence official says Russian missiles crossed into NATO member Poland, killing two people. ⏎ ⏎ A Polish government spokesman did not immediately confirm the information, but said leaders were meeting on "crisis situation." https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-zelenskyy-kherson-9202c032cf3a5c22761ee71b52ff9d52?taid=6373e1a578439d000178fba6&utm_campaign= [19:31:34] [discord] :waaa: [19:52:42] [discord] Uff, not a fan of this development. [20:12:45] [discord] Indeed... I think it's quite likely that it was an accident but still reckless of Russia to be firing missiles at all of course [20:17:17] [discord] RU MoD is denying that there were Russian missiles and that those missiles landed in Poland, so we're off to some kind of start. 😑 [20:17:50] [discord] What a surprise [20:17:51] [discord] Not sure what the outcome of this looks like, but none of them are particularly great. [20:18:47] [discord] I'd say there's 3, ranked from likely to unlikely [20:18:48] [discord] 1) Russia fired missile at Ukraine and Ukraine shot the missile down and the remains fell in Poland [20:18:49] [discord] 2) Russia was aiming for Ukraine but slightly missed and it went to Poland [20:18:50] [discord] 3) Russia intentionally attacked Poland [20:18:58] [discord] I'd say there's 3 possibilities ranked from likely to unlikely [20:18:58] [discord] 1) Russia fired missile at Ukraine and Ukraine shot the missile down and the remains fell in Poland [20:19:00] [discord] 2) Russia was aiming for Ukraine but slightly missed and it went to Poland [20:19:01] [discord] 3) Russia intentionally attacked Poland (edited) [20:19:17] [discord] As for outcomes I wouldn't think Poland would trigger Art 5 of NATO unless 3 happened, though for 2 there is potential too [20:20:25] [discord] Thing is why would they aim so close to the polish border, sounds like they set theirselves up to fail 🤔 [20:20:47] [discord] Lviv is close-ish, seems like that was the likely target if scenario 1 or 2 applies [20:20:50] [discord] Well their equipment is from the Soviet era so I don't think they have much aim